IDC

From Insight to Action: Customer Intel Everywhere

Customer relationships shift across moments, usage, roles, and goals, often in ways that challenge traditional thinking. It’s no longer sufficient for brands to predict what someone might do next. Instead, they must also understand why customers behave as they do and act while the engagement window remains open. Today’s customer dynamics demand systems that can read intent and purpose in real-time, explain decision logic transparently, and trigger contextually appropriate responses. This requires predictive AI models augmented with generative AI capabilities and AI agents designed to analyze patterns, operationalize insights, make decisions, execute interventions, and learn from outcomes continuously. Brands need to understand that customer intent or behavior shifts do not wait until the next daily or weekly campaign planning and execution cycles. They need to synthesize intent signals, build accurate AI models and put them to work before they become irrelevant. Data foundation reality check Organizations rushing to augment their predictive AI systems with generative AI and AI agents often discover that their data architecture cannot support the complexities required to transform raw data and context into AI-ready inputs. This is not a minor issue. According to Future Enterprise Resiliency Survey, Wave 1, Feb. 2025, 38% of the respondents identified data management as one of their top priorities for AI strategy in 2025. The challenge isn’t just traditional data quality – it’s creating a unified data environment where structured customer transactions, unstructured behavioral signals, social interactions, and external market indicators can be processed collectively. When data sources remain siloed or poorly integrated, AI agents make decisions based on incomplete context, generative AI produces responses that ignore critical customer history, and predictive models optimize for patterns that no longer reflect current customer reality. Industry-specific requirements Organizations often overlook customer data characteristics and AI model needs by industry, even within context of marketing and CX use cases. In travel and hospitality, the emphasis might be on seasonal demand patterns, loyalty program activity, and booking lead times, whereas in fashion retail, it could center on style preferences, return behavior, and fast-moving trend adoption. These variations shape not just the data collected, but also how it’s processed, modeled, and translated into timely marketing actions. Best-fit customer analytics applications embed industry-specific frameworks, data models, and campaign templates. Prebuilt workflows and segmentation logic grounded in industry IP reduce customization effort, accelerate time-to-value, and ensure that marketing teams can act on insights in ways that resonate with their customers’ actual behaviors. The autonomous future The promise of autonomous customer analytics lies in its ability to analyze vast streams of customer data, make decisions and take actions at scale, and learn from the results to improve future performance. When built on a solid foundation, these systems don’t just respond to customer behavior, they adapt continuously, refining rules, models, and strategies based on what works and what doesn’t. Achieving this requires more than deploying an advanced AI model. It requires continuous learning architecture that captures outcomes, detects drift in data, model, or customer patterns, and adjusts actions accordingly. Without these capabilities in place, moving too quickly to autonomous AI decision-making can be risky. Weak data quality, insufficient governance, and lack of monitoring can allow small errors to accumulate rapidly, resulting in inconsistent actions. Value measurement systems Organizations struggle to measure the ROI of traditional predictive AI. Even in batch-driven models, linking predictions to business impact can be challenging with unclear baselines and inconsistent attribution. If it’s difficult to quantify the value of a churn prediction or a propensity score today, the challenge grows when moving to generative AI and AI agents. In fact, according to Future Enterprise Resiliency Survey, Wave 1, Feb. 2025, 34% of the respondents mentioned that demonstrable ROI is key consideration when they are evaluating agentic AI solution for marketing and sales. Successful organizations will be those that build value measurement into their customer analytics applications. This means not only track the business impact from predictive AI use case but also show the direct link between model outputs, actions taken, and outcomes achieved. By establishing this closed loop, organizations lay the groundwork for measuring GenAI and AI agent performance, where the same approach must scale and provide continuous feedback for improvements. Practical readiness Successful customer analytics transformation requires organizations to start with a fundamentally different question: not “what insights can we generate?” but “what customer behaviors can we influence, and what organizational capabilities do we need to influence them effectively?” Selecting the right use case (e.g., customer segmentation, propensity, personalization, journeys, digital experience, next best recommendations, etc.), strengthening the data foundation, pairing predictive AI with generative AI, piloting a bounded AI agent, governance, and establishing AI operationalization framework is critical to deliver consistent, measurable improvements in customer engagement and outcomes. IDC MarketScape Customer Analytics Applications To bring clarity to this rapidly evolving market and for buyers, IDC has released 2025 MarketScape report for Customer Analytics Application that help you understand and evaluate how these vendors stack up against capabilities and strategy criteria. Clients can access the report here: IDC MarketScape: Worldwide Customer Analytics Applications 2025 Vendor Assessment To learn more about our research findings, CDP vendors, and IDC’s marketing and CX technology best practices, feel free to schedule an inquiry or briefing request. Please reach out directly ([email protected]) or fill out a briefing request form. source

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CEO vs. CMO: Why growth goals are misaligned

Most marketing leaders would agree that driving growth is a critical aspect of their role. But when met with day-to-day realities, growth often takes a back seat. Marketers have to juggle limited budgets, competing demands, and the pressure to show quick wins. This results in marketing efforts that focus on what feels urgent and out of line with what leadership expects. Forty-one percent of midmarket CMOs say that developing a strategy for new customer acquisition is their CEO’s top expectation over the next 12-18 months. This is according to IDC’s 2025 Global Midmarket Tech CMO Priorities Survey. Yet many marketing teams remain focused on other outcomes. In fact, 30% say their top priority is increasing revenue from existing customers. Another 29% are focused on reducing costs and streamlining operations. This isn’t a sign that marketing is off course. It’s a sign that the course itself is more complex. But when executive expectations point one way and internal execution points another, the disconnect can undermine momentum. This is the second of four major disconnects facing marketing teams, as identified by IDC. If left unaddressed, it limits marketing’s ability to deliver measurable business impact at the time it matters most. nd the first step to achieving true AI-driven growth is breaking through the illusion. Want the full picture? Download IDC’s Executive Insights Brief: The four disconnects shaping marketing in 2025 to get the four data-backed recommendations and realign your team’s priorities with executive growth goals. How marketing lost sight of growth In many ways, this disconnect was inevitable. Over the past few years, CMOs have had to adapt quickly — grappling with new technologies, shifting buyer behavior, and intensifying pressure to do more with less. Along the way, the role itself has fundamentally changed. Just a few years ago, IDC’s survey data confirmed that most midmarket CMOs didn’t see that change coming. In 2021, 49% of CMOs said they expected no change in their role over the next two years, and only 15% predicted an evolution toward becoming a Chief Market Officer — a title that signals broader responsibility for revenue growth and customer insight. Today, that view has shifted: 33% of CMOs now recognize their role has expanded to include a new title, greater responsibility for understanding the market, and increased accountability for both marketing and sales outcomes. In short, marketing is no longer responsible solely for generating leads or building awareness. Executives now expect it to directly fuel business growth through acquisition, expansion, and orchestrated, insight-driven customer journeys that span the entire funnel. Against that backdrop, it’s understandable why many CMOs have leaned into retention and efficiency. In a time of rapid change, focusing on what already works can feel like the safest choice. But when the rest of the business pivots toward bold growth, those instincts can become misaligned. Efforts to protect what’s already working may unintentionally push growth initiatives to the sidelines. The risks of misalignment When executive expectations lean into growth while marketing remains focused on retention and efficiency, frustration builds. From the CEO’s perspective, marketing appears out of step. Results are being delivered, just not the ones the business is counting on. At first, this disconnect can be hard to spot. A strong retention strategy can keep revenue steady in the short term, creating the impression that everything is on track, even as new customer growth begins to stall. Over time, however, the lack of a replenished pipeline becomes impossible to ignore. The consequences compound quickly: Revenue projections slip as acquisition lags. Cross-functional trust erodes. Strategic credibility suffers. If this sounds familiar, you’re not alone. Many teams face challenges moving beyond their traditional role at the top of the funnel. Nearly 35% of midmarket CMOs say demonstrating marketing’s strategic impact and ROI beyond lead generation is the top credibility challenge their teams face, according to IDC’s research. Another 25% report difficulty reinforcing marketing’s leadership role in driving business growth across the organization. Additionally, challenges in measurement deepen the disconnect. While the C-suite continues to prioritize outcome-based KPIs, midmarket CMOs report that these metrics remain the hardest to define and track. Without a clear way to measure and communicate progress toward growth, internal alignment stalls, and confidence from leadership wanes. Meanwhile, competitors that invest in acquisition today are building relationships that may be difficult to disrupt later. And when pressure to deliver spikes during budget season, board reviews, or sudden pivots in business direction, marketing teams are left scrambling to respond, without the infrastructure or momentum to do so effectively. This mirrors another key disconnect IDC identified for 2025: the “illusion of AI adoption.” In both cases, surface-level activity is mistaken for strategic progress. A well-run retention strategy may look like success until growth becomes the mandate, and marketing finds itself unprepared to scale. The takeaway? Misalignment introduces real risk: missed targets, siloed execution, and reactive strategy. Without a deliberate shift in focus and accountability, marketing can end up sidelined from the very decisions it’s expected to help lead. Recognizing the need for rebalance This isn’t about choosing between growth, efficiency, or retention. The most effective marketing strategies in 2025 will do it all. But to meet rising expectations from the C-suite, CMOs must rebalance attention, resources, and measurement frameworks toward initiatives that drive net-new business. That starts with acknowledging the gap: Are your current campaigns designed to reach new audiences? Are acquisition metrics part of your performance benchmarks? Is your team resourced and empowered to prioritize growth? For many, the honest answer is “not yet.” But that’s not a failure. It’s a starting point. And it signals that now is the time to course correct. The sooner CMOs confront this disconnect, the better positioned they’ll be to respond before it widens. Realigning for growth Recognizing the gap is one thing. Closing it takes action. Retention and efficiency will always matter, but acquisition needs to have a clear place in the strategic plan, with dedicated resources, defined metrics, and visibility across the organization. For many teams,

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D2D satellite communications

Direct to satellite communications won’t be a big money spinner straight off Smartphone to satellite direct communications becomes a commercial service in the US on 23rd July with the launch of the ‘T-Satellite’ service on T-Mobile via SpaceX Starlink. It is both a technological achievement and rather an underwhelming event following the hype that has gone into the subject over the last two years. D2D is not going to meet some of the overheated expectations of the space industry as its next great white hope. It will not produce billions of new short term revenues. What it will do to begin with is provide a very useful emergency and texting service. More will come later. Route one – need new phones D2D has already evolved a long way over a short time. As it started off, it was a deal between phone makers and existing satellite operators, notably the fist-generation LEO systems Iridium and Globalstar. With new chips in smartphones which could work on these operators’ frequencies, D2D service could commence, and a couple of years ago the big smartphone chipmakers began to look into tieups to make this work. This was a buzz theme at Mobile World Congress in 2023. Qualcomm had just signed up to work on D2D with Iridium, and Samsung and Mediatek were also looking at deals with smartphone makers. Only one of those deals stuck – Apple and Globalstar. That deal, in which all iPhones produced from the 14 series onwards work on Globalstar frequencies as well as the usual cellular ones, has subsequently been enlarged and Apple is now the primary backer of the next generation of Globalstar satellites. The Apple service at the moment is free. The other putative tieups however came to nothing because monetising service via this route would have been very complex. Route two – needing new satellites Instead D2D is moving emphatically towards service via a second option – using terrestrial cellular operator frequency. In theory, this means that all phones should be able to use the service – a TAM of seven billion or so of phones. Because of that, it was always the most logical way forward, but it did imply that investment needed to be made in new satellites which could work on those cellular frequencies. Starlink had the inside track for this because it could adapt satellites it already planned to launch. This move made the business model much more simple: service would be sold by the mobile operator and the satellite system would be like tower cellular infrastructure. A question of politics as well as investment Starlink however means the divisive figure of Elon Musk and there has been a lot of reticence in the telecoms industry to the emerging D2D industry being dominated by a satellite system he controls. This reticence has helped American rivals AST SpaceMobile and Lynk Global find backing. Both are startups and ambitious and needs lots of capital. AST in particular looks set to find the resources to launch a global system of broadband D2D capable of much more than emergency messaging. It has found backing from T-Mobile’s US mobile industry rivals AT&T and Verizon, and Google among others. Vodafone has done a joint venture deal with AST SpaceMobile to run service in Europe. The move to cellular operator frequency moves the D2D business squarely into the mobile operators’ court. Service can only work through them. Unsurprisingly they want to integrate D2D service into their existing tariff offerings. At present users are restricted to low rate messaging and testing on Starlink so far has shown that only some smartphones work well on the service. However technology is moving fast. AST is aiming at broadband communications, and Vodafone aims to have its JV service up and running in Europe in 2026. More in the works Meanwhile SpaceX, ever ambitious and trying to push the boundaries, wants to orbit some of its forthcoming satellites closer to the Earth. It also wants to increase their power output. That would bring its D2D performance to rival that of AST. And Starlink launches frequently and can put capacity into space more quickly. The latest and forthcoming work of standards body 3GPP will improve the reception and signal performance with satellites of new smartphone chipsets. Further out D2D may spread out into further services such as vehicle communications. So while the first steps in D2D have been smaller than the technology’s first boosters claimed, longer term it has substantial potential. Hence the big mobile players have made or are considering substantial investments which go well beyond the payback from messaging service. Already though the launch of emergency satellite messaging is a major technological milestone in global communications. Getting the small antenna on a smartphone to communicate with a satellite moving across the skey hundreds of kilometres above it sounds a long shot, and it is. To paraphrase the first man on the moon, Neil Armstrong, one small step for the telecoms industry, but one great leap for mankind. source

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The AI illusion: Are you advancing or just adopting?

On the surface, AI seems woven into modern marketing. Pilot programs are evolving into real workflows. AI tools are being deployed for a variety of tasks. Teams are becoming more fluent in GenAI, automation, and orchestration. But underneath it all, the foundation is often still rocky. Insufficient infrastructure, skill shortages, and a lack of clear governance reveal a distinct disconnect: many organizations are mistaking adoption for advancement, and it’s creating a false sense of AI maturity. In fact, just over half of midmarket CMOs have implemented AI or GenAI into their marketing strategy, according to IDC’s 2025 Global Midmarket Tech CMO Priorities Survey. Yet only 26% are seeing improved efficiency, creativity, and effectiveness as a result. This gap between confidence and capability defines what IDC calls the illusion of AI adoption. At the same time, CMOs face mounting pressure to deliver more, faster. From bold innovation and customer acquisition to measurable ROI and alignment with enterprise tech infrastructure, today’s marketing leaders are navigating what IDC refers to as the Pressure Cascade: a compounding set of executive expectations with limited room for missteps. This illusion of AI adoption is just one of four key disconnects reshaping marketing in 2025. And the first step to achieving true AI-driven growth is breaking through the illusion. Download IDC’s Executive Insights Brief: The four disconnects shaping Marketing in 2025 and get three proven strategies to cut through the illusion of AI readiness and realign your AI ambitions with operational reality. Plus, uncover more insights into the AI challenges facing CMOs today. The mirage of AI maturity Momentum can create the illusion maturity. The presence of AI tools, active experimentation, and a handful of successful use cases can have organizations thinking they’ve successfully transformed into optimized, AI-infused operations. But the reality is that most transformations are still in the early stages. According to IDC’s MaturityScape: AI-Fueled Organization 1.0, a majority of midmarket businesses are undergoing an opportunistic pivot to AI while working to formalize strategy, establish oversight, and integrate practices across teams. The problem isn’t that these companies are doing the wrong things. It’s that they’re doing the right things in isolation. Experimentation remains siloed. Cross-functional learning is limited. AI efforts may be structured, but they’re not yet orchestrated or repeatable. This pivot phase can generate positive signals such as early productivity gains, promising pilot outcomes, and internal excitement. But those signals can also be misleading. Without a strong foundation in place, organizations can’t move from experimentation to scale. What emerges is a semblance of progress: a hodgepodge of capabilities that looks advanced but doesn’t have the basis to deliver long-term value. Understanding where your organization stands on the AI maturity journey is a critical step toward ensuring your efforts in AI aren’t just active, they’re effective. And without that clarity, it’s easy to mistake movement for mastery. The AI readiness gap: Perception vs. preparedness While many marketing leaders are confident in their organization’s AI trajectory, IDC’s research reveals a different picture. On paper, AI adoption appears to be surging. However, operationally, most organizations are still grappling with fundamental gaps that limit impact and scalability. For example, 37% of midmarket CMOs believe AI-enabled marketing technologies have potential to help their organizations over the next 12-18 months, according to the Midmarket survey. This includes incorporating tools and workflows to boost content creation and automate campaigns, critical elements of modern marketing success. Still, only 31% of the same CMOs are prioritizing the modernization of their MarTech stacks. This is a crucial metric. Without updated systems and integrated data pipelines, even the most sophisticated AI tools remain disconnected from broader workflows, limiting their value. What emerges is a widening gap between perception and preparedness. Leaders may feel confident in their AI capabilities, but confidence alone doesn’t modernize platforms, upskill teams, or align cross-functional strategy. Without a clear-eyed look at operational readiness, organizations risk mistaking AI activity for AI advantage. And in doing so, they leave substantial business value untapped. The blind spots hiding true transformation The illusion of AI readiness isn’t just about overconfidence: It’s about overlooked fundamentals. Lurking beneath the surface of many marketing organizations are three persistent blind spots that impede progress, even as AI use proliferates. Unsustainable infrastructure: Legacy systems and siloed data remain some of the biggest barriers to AI effectiveness, yet few CMOs report modernizing their tech as a top priority. Too often, marketers layer new AI solutions onto outdated architectures, expecting transformation from tools that lack full integration with customer and operational data. Untapped talent: AI adoption isn’t just a technology challenge. It’s a people challenge. Marketing teams need fluency in how AI works, where it adds value, and how to measure and report ROI. Still, many teams lack the training or hiring support to confidently engage with AI tools. The result is inconsistent usage, limited experimentation, and stalled progress. Undefined governance: Perhaps the most insidious blind spot is the absence of a centralized AI strategy. In many organizations, no single leader owns AI enablement. Without clear accountability and guidance, AI initiatives tend to remain ad hoc, driven by interest or urgency rather than overarching business priorities. This leads to duplication, wasted investment, and difficulty measuring success. Together, these blind spots don’t just delay AI maturity, they hide its true nature. Organizations may appear active in their use of AI, but without addressing these core areas, their progress remains tenuous at best. The longer these issues go unaddressed, the harder it becomes to scale success, drive innovation, or justify further investment. Now is the time to break the illusion of AI adoption AI is no longer optional. It’s a modern-day must. Customers anticipate personalization in real time. Executives expect measurable ROI and aggressive acquisition strategies. And the organizations that have made meaningful investments into foundational AI readiness are beginning to pull ahead. For CMOs still operating under the illusion of AI capability, it’s time to wipe the fog from the mirror. The gap between perception and reality isn’t just a strategic misalignment

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The Smartphone Shifts: Why Second-Hand Devices are Outpacing New Ones

In a world increasingly driven by sustainability and cost-efficiency, the used device market is no longer a secondary consideration; it’s a strategic frontier. From smartphones and laptops to wearables and tablets, pre-owned tech is gaining traction across consumer and enterprise segments alike. At IDC, we’ve been closely monitoring this evolution through our Quarterly Used Device Tracker, uncovering the key trends that reveal how the market is maturing, diversifying, and reshaping the broader device ecosystem. IDC’s recent forecast indicates that global shipments of used smartphones alone will grow by 3.2% year-over-year in 2025, whilst the worldwide market for new smartphones is only projected to grow 1% over the same period. This is fueled by widespread trade-in programs, improvements in refurbished device quality, and rising environmental awareness. As affordability meets reliability, the appeal of second-hand devices is expanding beyond budget-conscious consumers to mainstream buyers and businesses. Used vs. new smartphone shipments: A diverging growth story The smartphone market is undergoing a notable shift, with sales of new devices having declined in both 2022 and 2023, before seeing a modest recovery in 2024. In contrast, the used smartphone market has been constantly growing. This divergence reflects changing consumer priorities: affordability, sustainability, and the growing trust in refurbished devices. As shown in the graphs below, the used device segment is not just resilient, it’s becoming a growth engine in its own right. What’s fueling the shift The slowdown in new smartphone shipments stems largely from economic caution and longer device lifespans. With inflation squeezing budgets and phones lasting longer thanks to improved hardware and software support, consumers are holding onto their devices for extended periods. Add to that a lack of groundbreaking innovation and saturation in mature markets, and it’s clear why growth has stalled. Meanwhile, the used smartphone market is thriving. Buyers are drawn to the value and reliability of refurbished devices, especially as trade-in programs expand and certification standards improve. Sustainability is also playing a bigger role; choosing a used device is increasingly seen as a wise, eco-conscious decision. As consumers become more environmentally conscious, buying second-hand devices helps reduce electronic waste and makes more efficient use of resources. Additionally, the rapid pace of technological advancement means that even older models can still perform well and meet everyday needs. Consequently, the market for second-hand smartphones is thriving, often outpacing sales of brand-new devices. Forecasting the future As the smartphone market looks ahead to the second half of the decade, the growth dynamics between new and used devices are expected to shift. According to IDC’s forecast, new smartphone shipments will gradually recover, with growth rates climbing from 1% in 2025 to 1.4% by 2029. This rebound reflects improving macroeconomic conditions, renewed upgrade cycles, and innovation in areas like AI and foldable devices. However, the used smartphone market will continue to grow at a faster pace, albeit with a gradual deceleration. Starting at 5.8% in 2026, growth is projected to ease to 4.9% by 2029 as the market matures and supply chains stabilize. The sustained momentum in the used segment underscores its role as a mainstream choice, driven by affordability, sustainability, and the continued expansion of trade-in and refurbishment programs. The graph below illustrates this, highlighting how both segments are growing, but with used smartphones maintaining a clear lead. Looking ahead As the smartphone market evolves, the used device segment is redefining value, sustainability, and accessibility. With strong growth expected to continue through 2029, it’s evident that second-hand smartphones have moved beyond being a niche market; they are now a strategic pillar of the industry. Whether you are an original equipment manufacturer (OEM), a retailer, or an enterprise buyer, understanding this shift is crucial for staying competitive in an increasingly circular, data-driven, and consumer-focused market. source

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Beyond the Predictions: Operationalizing Customer Intel at Every Touchpoint

Customer relationships shift across moments, usage, roles, and goals, often in ways that challenge traditional thinking. It’s no longer sufficient for brands to predict what someone might do next. Instead, they must also understand why customers behave as they do and act while the engagement window remains open. Today’s customer dynamics demand systems that can read intent and purpose in real-time, explain decision logic transparently, and trigger contextually appropriate responses. This requires predictive AI models augmented with generative AI capabilities and AI agents designed to analyze patterns, operationalize insights, make decisions, execute interventions, and learn from outcomes continuously. Brands need to understand that customer intent or behavior shifts do not wait until the next daily or weekly campaign planning and execution cycles. They need to synthesize intent signals, build accurate AI models and put them to work before they become irrelevant. Data foundation reality check Organizations rushing to augment their predictive AI systems with generative AI and AI agents often discover that their data architecture cannot support the complexities required to transform raw data and context into AI-ready inputs. This is not a minor issue. According to Future Enterprise Resiliency Survey, Wave 1, Feb. 2025, 38% of the respondents identified data management as one of their top priorities for AI strategy in 2025. The challenge isn’t just traditional data quality – it’s creating a unified data environment where structured customer transactions, unstructured behavioral signals, social interactions, and external market indicators can be processed collectively. When data sources remain siloed or poorly integrated, AI agents make decisions based on incomplete context, generative AI produces responses that ignore critical customer history, and predictive models optimize for patterns that no longer reflect current customer reality. Industry-specific requirements Organizations often overlook customer data characteristics and AI model needs by industry, even within context of marketing and CX use cases. In travel and hospitality, the emphasis might be on seasonal demand patterns, loyalty program activity, and booking lead times, whereas in fashion retail, it could center on style preferences, return behavior, and fast-moving trend adoption. These variations shape not just the data collected, but also how it’s processed, modeled, and translated into timely marketing actions. Best-fit customer analytics applications embed industry-specific frameworks, data models, and campaign templates. Prebuilt workflows and segmentation logic grounded in industry IP reduce customization effort, accelerate time-to-value, and ensure that marketing teams can act on insights in ways that resonate with their customers’ actual behaviors. The autonomous future The promise of autonomous customer analytics lies in its ability to analyze vast streams of customer data, make decisions and take actions at scale, and learn from the results to improve future performance. When built on a solid foundation, these systems don’t just respond to customer behavior, they adapt continuously, refining rules, models, and strategies based on what works and what doesn’t. Achieving this requires more than deploying an advanced AI model. It requires continuous learning architecture that captures outcomes, detects drift in data, model, or customer patterns, and adjusts actions accordingly. Without these capabilities in place, moving too quickly to autonomous AI decision-making can be risky. Weak data quality, insufficient governance, and lack of monitoring can allow small errors to accumulate rapidly, resulting in inconsistent actions. Value measurement systems Organizations struggle to measure the ROI of traditional predictive AI. Even in batch-driven models, linking predictions to business impact can be challenging with unclear baselines and inconsistent attribution. If it’s difficult to quantify the value of a churn prediction or a propensity score today, the challenge grows when moving to generative AI and AI agents. In fact, according to Future Enterprise Resiliency Survey, Wave 1, Feb. 2025, 34% of the respondents mentioned that demonstrable ROI is key consideration when they are evaluating agentic AI solution for marketing and sales. Successful organizations will be those that build value measurement into their customer analytics applications. This means not only track the business impact from predictive AI use case but also show the direct link between model outputs, actions taken, and outcomes achieved. By establishing this closed loop, organizations lay the groundwork for measuring GenAI and AI agent performance, where the same approach must scale and provide continuous feedback for improvements. Practical readiness Successful customer analytics transformation requires organizations to start with a fundamentally different question: not “what insights can we generate?” but “what customer behaviors can we influence, and what organizational capabilities do we need to influence them effectively?” Selecting the right use case (e.g., customer segmentation, propensity, personalization, journeys, digital experience, next best recommendations, etc.), strengthening the data foundation, pairing predictive AI with generative AI, piloting a bounded AI agent, governance, and establishing AI operationalization framework is critical to deliver consistent, measurable improvements in customer engagement and outcomes. IDC MarketScape Customer Analytics Applications To bring clarity to this rapidly evolving market and for buyers, IDC has released 2025 MarketScape report for Customer Analytics Application that help you understand and evaluate how these vendors stack up against capabilities and strategy criteria. Clients can access the report here: IDC MarketScape: Worldwide Customer Analytics Applications 2025 Vendor Assessment To learn more about our research findings, CDP vendors, and IDC’s marketing and CX technology best practices, feel free to schedule an inquiry or briefing request. Please reach out directly ([email protected]) or fill out a briefing request form. source

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Chipsets vs. Displays: The Battle for Smartphone Innovation

The smartphone industry finds itself at a crossroads, grappling with market maturity and the challenges of sustaining growth. Once a hotbed of rapid innovation, the sector now faces stagnation as global giants dominate the vendor space, governments adopt protectionist policies, and profitability dwindles. Channels, too, are struggling with reduced incentives, leaving them less motivated to push new devices. In this environment, the search for breakthrough technology has become more urgent than ever. Vendors are desperate for an innovation that can reignite consumer interest and drive large-scale replacements of increasingly durable smartphones. The stakes are high: without a compelling reason for consumers to upgrade, the industry risks losing momentum entirely. The quest for the “next big thing” has led to bold bets on technologies like 5G, foldable displays, and AI integration. Yet, each of these innovations has faced its own set of hurdles, from high costs and limited use cases to consumer skepticism and slow adoption rates. The industry’s challenge is clear—find a game-changing technology that not only captures the imagination of consumers but also delivers tangible value. The question remains: which innovation will rise to the occasion? 5G Transition: Why It Fell Short of Expectations The transition to 5G was heralded as a transformative leap for the smartphone industry, yet its impact on sales and consumer behavior has been underwhelming. Several factors contributed to this shortfall, revealing critical gaps in execution and market readiness. Consumer Awareness and Use Case Gaps: For the average consumer, 4G already meets most connectivity needs, from social media browsing to video streaming. The incremental speed improvements offered by 5G failed to resonate as a compelling reason to upgrade. Moreover, the lack of well-defined use cases—beyond faster downloads—left consumers questioning the necessity of 5G-enabled devices. Compelling use cases never hit the mass market fast enough—“stream a video a bit faster” failed to sell phones. Operator Investment and Commercialization Challenges: Telecom operators faced significant hurdles in rolling out and commercializing 5G networks. Many were still grappling with the financial burden of 4G investments, which had not fully delivered expected returns. The economic downturn and market maturity further strained their ability to invest in 5G infrastructure. As a result, network availability remained fragmented, delaying the further commercialization of 5G packages and limiting consumer adoption. Limited Product Differentiation: Unlike the leap from 2G to 3G/4G, which introduced smartphones as a new product category, the shift from 4G to 5G did not redefine the device experience. Vendors struggled to position 5G as a must-have feature, as the technology did not fundamentally alter how consumers interact with their phones. External Disruption: The global COVID-19 pandemic and accompanying economic volatility slowed the pace of 5G adoption. Consumers prioritized essential spending, while vendors and operators faced logistical and financial challenges in scaling 5G deployments. In summary, the 5G transition fell short due to fragmented operator investments, limited consumer awareness, and a lack of compelling use cases. While the technology holds promise, its immediate impact on smartphone innovation remains muted. 5G is a foundational capability that will matter for years, but as a buying trigger it became a point of parity. It is table stakes rather than a reason to replace a still‑reliable phone. Foldables: Dazzling Displays, Constrained Adoption Foldable displays were heralded as the next frontier in smartphone innovation, promising larger screens in compact forms. Over the past decade, displays grew until ~6.5–7 inches became the sweet spot. Foldables promised the next leap: tablet‑like canvas in a pocketable device. Market leaders like Samsung and Huawei have pushed the boundaries with devices like the Galaxy Fold series and Mate XT, while others, such as Lenovo and TCL, have showcased futuristic concepts like rollable and bendable displays. Despite these advancements, foldables have struggled to gain widespread adoption and remain a premium niche for several reasons: Price Ceilings: Foldable smartphones remain firmly in the premium segment, with an average price of $1,188 in 2025, nearly three times the cost of non-foldable devices. This pricing barrier limits accessibility and slows penetration, especially when Apple dominates the high-end market with a 74.2% share in the ultra-premium segment. In the $1000+ band, Apple dominates mindshare and market share; premium buyers often stay with the iPhone even over novel Android form factors. Durability Perception: Durability concerns also weigh heavily on consumer sentiment. Early foldable models were criticized for their thickness, weight, and fragility, leading many to view the technology as experimental. While these issues have improved, skepticism persists, with many consumers waiting for the technology to mature further. Practicality Trade-offs: Early‑gen thickness and weight—plus crease visibility—reduced pocket comfort and everyday appeal. Perception challenge: Despite their innovative form factor, they have yet to deliver compelling use cases that justify their high price tags. For most users, the benefits of a larger screen do not outweigh the costs and uncertainties. Even with meaningful engineering progress and real benefits for reading, multitasking, and content creation, foldables account for a small fraction of shipments. As of 2025, foldables account for just 1.6% of global smartphone shipments, a figure projected to rise only marginally to 2.0% by 2029. While the technology holds promise, its slow adoption underscores the challenges of balancing innovation with consumer needs and market realities. They inspire excitement but not yet mass‑market renewal. AI Integration: The Emerging Game-Changer for Smartphones The smartphone industry is witnessing a paradigm shift with the integration of AI, positioning chipsets as the cornerstone of innovation. With large models moving from cloud‑only to hybrid and on‑device execution, chip capability—especially NPUs delivering tens of TOPS—has become a differentiator consumers can feel: faster photo/video edits, instant transcription and translation, enhanced voice assistants, and privacy‑first features that work offline. Unlike foldable displays, which primarily target premium users, AI-powered smartphones promise to revolutionize the entire ecosystem—albeit with hurdles to overcome. Chipset Capabilities: The Foundation of AI Smartphones AI integration in smartphones hinges on advanced chipsets equipped with neural processing units (NPUs) capable of handling Generative AI models. Devices like the iPhone 16 Pro (Apple A18 Pro) and Galaxy S25 Ultra (Snapdragon

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D2D satellite direct to device – One small step for now, but a lot more to play for

Direct to satellite communications won’t be a big money spinner straight off Smartphone to satellite direct communications becomes a commercial service in the US on 23rd July with the launch of the ‘T-Satellite’ service on T-Mobile via SpaceX Starlink. It is both a technological achievement and rather an underwhelming event following the hype that has gone into the subject over the last two years. D2D is not going to meet some of the overheated expectations of the space industry as its next great white hope. It will not produce billions of new short term revenues. What it will do to begin with is provide a very useful emergency and texting service. More will come later. Route one – need new phones D2D has already evolved a long way over a short time. As it started off, it was a deal between phone makers and existing satellite operators, notably the fist-generation LEO systems Iridium and Globalstar. With new chips in smartphones which could work on these operators’ frequencies, D2D service could commence, and a couple of years ago the big smartphone chipmakers began to look into tieups to make this work. This was a buzz theme at Mobile World Congress in 2023. Qualcomm had just signed up to work on D2D with Iridium, and Samsung and Mediatek were also looking at deals with smartphone makers. Only one of those deals stuck – Apple and Globalstar. That deal, in which all iPhones produced from the 14 series onwards work on Globalstar frequencies as well as the usual cellular ones, has subsequently been enlarged and Apple is now the primary backer of the next generation of Globalstar satellites. The Apple service at the moment is free. The other putative tieups however came to nothing because monetising service via this route would have been very complex. Route two – needing new satellites Instead D2D is moving emphatically towards service via a second option – using terrestrial cellular operator frequency. In theory, this means that all phones should be able to use the service – a TAM of seven billion or so of phones. Because of that, it was always the most logical way forward, but it did imply that investment needed to be made in new satellites which could work on those cellular frequencies. Starlink had the inside track for this because it could adapt satellites it already planned to launch. This move made the business model much more simple: service would be sold by the mobile operator and the satellite system would be like tower cellular infrastructure. A question of politics as well as investment Starlink however means the divisive figure of Elon Musk and there has been a lot of reticence in the telecoms industry to the emerging D2D industry being dominated by a satellite system he controls. This reticence has helped American rivals AST SpaceMobile and Lynk Global find backing. Both are startups and ambitious and needs lots of capital. AST in particular looks set to find the resources to launch a global system of broadband D2D capable of much more than emergency messaging. It has found backing from T-Mobile’s US mobile industry rivals AT&T and Verizon, and Google among others. Vodafone has done a joint venture deal with AST SpaceMobile to run service in Europe. The move to cellular operator frequency moves the D2D business squarely into the mobile operators’ court. Service can only work through them. Unsurprisingly they want to integrate D2D service into their existing tariff offerings. At present users are restricted to low rate messaging and testing on Starlink so far has shown that only some smartphones work well on the service. However technology is moving fast. AST is aiming at broadband communications, and Vodafone aims to have its JV service up and running in Europe in 2026. More in the works Meanwhile SpaceX, ever ambitious and trying to push the boundaries, wants to orbit some of its forthcoming satellites closer to the Earth. It also wants to increase their power output. That would bring its D2D performance to rival that of AST. And Starlink launches frequently and can put capacity into space more quickly. The latest and forthcoming work of standards body 3GPP will improve the reception and signal performance with satellites of new smartphone chipsets. Further out D2D may spread out into further services such as vehicle communications. So while the first steps in D2D have been smaller than the technology’s first boosters claimed, longer term it has substantial potential. Hence the big mobile players have made or are considering substantial investments which go well beyond the payback from messaging service. Already though the launch of emergency satellite messaging is a major technological milestone in global communications. Getting the small antenna on a smartphone to communicate with a satellite moving across the skey hundreds of kilometres above it sounds a long shot, and it is. To paraphrase the first man on the moon, Neil Armstrong, one small step for the telecoms industry, but one great leap for mankind. source

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The U.S. Healthcare Prior Authorization Crisis: Will Agentic AI Come to the Rescue?

Over the past decade, I’ve watched healthcare providers invest in electronic health records (EHRs), revenue cycle management (RCM), and a broad range of health IT solution areas spanning clinical, operational, and administrative functions. Yet, one issue continues to drain resources and morale like no other: prior authorization, also known as “prior auth.” Despite being intended to ensure appropriate care and control costs, in my analysis, prior auth costs the U.S. healthcare system at least $41.4 billion to $55.8 billion annually, at least, depending on how you model and factor in labor costs, delays, and the downstream clinical impact. What is even more bothersome is that prior auth isn’t just an operational inefficiency but a symptom of a deeper failure to prioritize system redesign over entrenched inefficiencies, temporary workarounds, and conflicting incentives. Why Prior Auth Won’t Fix Itself What I’ve come to believe, contrary to prevailing narratives, is that the prior auth crisis is not a failure of process or technology, but people and mindset. For years, U.S. healthcare leaders, particularly within provider organizations, have largely abdicated meaningful engagement with system redesign or resistance to imposing external forces. Instead, they’ve defaulted to compliance despite any dysfunction, relying on short-term patches, manual workarounds, and narrowly scoped initiatives to ensure payment. Most efforts have been reactive, designed to navigate and endure the complexity than challenge it. Survey data from the American Medical Association (AMA) paints a stark picture. Physicians and their teams spend 13 hours a week handling an average of 39 prior authorizations per doctor, so burdensome that 40% of practices have staff solely dedicated to it. Nearly 9 in 10 physicians report it drives burnout and inflates healthcare utilization. Even more troubling, 94% say prior auth harms clinical outcomes, 93% say it causes care delays, 82% report it leads to treatment abandonment, and 29% cite serious adverse events as a direct result.[1] Underneath any cultural resignation is the sense that such administrative complexity is “simply healthcare,” and the sheer magnitude of it is “how U.S. healthcare works.” This has shaped decades of efforts and investments that have further baked such dysfunction into the very DNA of the system. By not challenging and, in turn, reengineering prior auth from the ground up, it was standardized. The problem has not only hardened but has also been operationalized and institutionalized, resulting in such friction and colossal costs. The problem with prior auth isn’t that it’s only expensive to do, but also that it’s resistant to change. Unlike RCM, which has evolved over the years toward better end-to-end, front-loaded models that begin well before the claim is filed or the patient is even seen, prior auth too often gets triggered late in the care episode, after key decisions have been made. It’s still mostly payer-facing and payer-driven in the continuum of care, with misaligned, frequently conflicting incentives and inconsistent criteria across the board, except in the case of “payviders” or integrated delivery networks, where the divide is less pronounced and may promote rather than block collaboration despite it needing to be more in the patient’s or member’s interest than the system for true value-based care delivery. U.S. healthcare providers have repeatedly mistaken digitization for modernization. Converting paper into PDFs instead of structured data, automating outdated steps, or adding a portal to a broken process. These were not transformative moves. At best, they converted paper files into EHRs or manual billing into RCM, without questioning the process design behind them. Does it drive approval any faster? Does it reduce burden or improve care quality and experiences? Rarely. Even traditional automation tools, like RPA, while helpful for repetitive administrative tasks, were never built to handle unstructured data or the dynamic, exception-heavy nature of prior authorization workflows. These tools, in essence, served more as digital band-aids over deep systemic wounds, not solutions. Market Signals Tell Us to Move On According to IDC survey data, 52.5% of U.S. healthcare providers are now adopting composable IT architectures to drive electronic prior auth (ePA), moving toward modular, plug-and-play systems designed for agility and continuous evolution. Meanwhile, only 6.6% remain dependent on rigid, custom-built platforms. The message is clear: the market is shifting toward flexibility, interoperability, and intelligent orchestration. I won’t go so far as to say the tide is turning, but signals are getting louder. Across the board, I’m seeing more healthcare leaders on both the technology buyer and supplier sides acknowledging that traditional automation has reached its limits. The complexity of an area like prior auth demands something more adaptive, scalable, and intelligent. Enter agentic AI, not just as another layer of automation, but a new class of automation. Where agents shine is that they can bridge the gap between automation with intelligence, autonomy, and context awareness, working not just faster, but smarter. As opposed to traditional rule-based systems or narrowly trained models, agentic AI can adapt, interpret, and learn on the fly. This is a significant leap from simply executing pre-coded functions. What sets agents further apart is their ability to perform zero-shot reasoning, as well as their capability to handle new inputs or scenarios that haven’t been trained on by leveraging generalized knowledge across domains. This adaptability reassures healthcare leaders that agentic AI can function even in the face of edge cases, real-time policy updates, and unstructured clinical complexity, making it particularly well-suited for prior auth, where variability is the norm, not the exception. Rather than following static rulesets or requiring periodic retraining, agentic AI can: Interpret unstructured data by leveraging NLP and LLMs to extract relevant information from free-text sources such as physician notes, discharge summaries, radiology reports, and lab results. This enables the system to understand the clinical rationale behind a treatment or diagnostic order, allowing for more accurate and context-aware authorization decisions without requiring structured, template-based documentation. Adapt dynamically to evolving payer rules, rather than relying on static rule engines or periodic manual updates. Agentic AI can ingest real-time payer policy feeds, API-accessible rule libraries, or even scrape payer portals (when necessary) to automatically apply

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The Rise of Smart Glasses, From Novelty to Necessity

The smart glasses market has been growing rapidly in the last couple of years, mostly led by the second generation of Meta Ray-Ban glasses that have come onto the market and taken consumers by storm. Interestingly, the first generation of Meta’s smart glasses, the Ray-Ban Stories released in 2021, fizzled not really capturing the consumers’ interest and underwhelming in terms of sales. In comparison, the second generation did more than 900k sales in just the fourth quarter of 2024, and holds over 65% global market share. We have also seen devices from major brands like Google with Google Glass and Bose with Bose Frames, which have failed to take hold and have both been discontinued. So why the current growth? The Tech Behind the Specs Well, part of the answer is clearly improving technology, this means the glasses can be relatively light whilst cramming in more features. Meta Ray-Bans second-generation Wayfarers weigh around 50 grams, which is only 5 grams heavier than the 45-gram non-smart Ray-Ban Wayfarers. At the same time, the glasses manage to pack in a 12-megapixel ultrawide camera, open-ear speakers on each arm of the glasses, five microphones, 32 GB of internal storage, the ability to connect via Bluetooth and Wi-Fi, and batteries capable of powering the glasses for up to 4 hours of use. Not too bad for an additional 5 grams. This impressive bundle of features rolled up in such a small and unobtrusive form factor means that consumers are now viewing  smart glasses as a legitimate technology product with significant real world use cases. The last couple of years have also seen rapid advances in Artificial Intelligence, which, when integrated into smart glasses, gives them far more functionality than just a pair of bulky glasses that have a camera and speakers bolted to them. These new AI features let users access information and interact with the world in real time, for example using the built-in cameras first person viewpoint to seamlessly identify landmarks by asking “What’s that building in front of me?”. Or allowing the user to spontaneously ask questions, just as they would with a search engine on a smartphone, but without the hassle of getting the phone out of their pocket and typing out the question, then trolling through results. This elevates the glasses from a nice-to-have gimmick into a useful tool for everyday life. There is clearly still a long way to go though; the AI features are still relatively primitive, and it’s doubtful that most people will be eager to randomly start asking AI questions out loud in public, given people’s desire for privacy. There are also interesting technological developments in the use of smart glasses as discreet hearing aids, with many people suffering from partial hearing loss being reticent to wear traditional hearing aids, due to the attached stigma and the implied acceptance of one’s age. This is a sizable and growing market with The World Health Organisation (WHO) estimating roughly 20% of the worlds population has some degree of hearing loss, this translates to over 1.5 Billion people. EssilorLuxottica has recently released it’s Nuance Audio smart glasses that have built-in microphones that pick up sounds the glasses are pointed at and then amplify them through built in speakers in the arms of the glasses. The idea being a partially deaf individual wearing the glasses in a somewhat noisy environment, like that found in a popular bar on a Friday night, can more easily hear a person they are trying to hold a conversation with. Transcribeglass has taken a slightly different approach to the same problem. Their smart glasses also use microphones to pick up conversations in the glasses field of view, but then the conversations are transcribed in writing onto the glass in front of the wearers eye. Allowing the hearing impaired individual to read conversations like subtitles in a film. Transcribe’s glasses can also be used to translate foreign languages in real time, giving them an even broader market appeal. Both companies approaches are interesting and highlight a huge opportunity in the market for a discreet solution to help individuals with hearing loss and foreign language translation, which could create a significant tail wing for smart glasses sales. Going Hands Free We have also seen additional use cases being added, like video streaming—especially with Meta making their glasses easily compatible with their social media platforms, allowing things like live-streaming Instagram Reels from the glasses. Smart glasses have the advantage that they can record first-person videos whilst allowing the person recording to remain in the moment. This was one of the key talking points from Apple when they launched their Vision Pro, but the bulky screen in front of people’s faces, coupled with the slightly off-putting projection of their eyes, means that “in the moment” is a relative term. Thinner, more normal-looking smart glasses from the likes of Meta allow the wearer to be as in the moment as any other glasses wearer. This will allow people to experience key events like birthday parties or watching New Year’s Eve celebrations and then still have the videos to last a lifetime, or more likely, post on their social media. There are obviously still problems with this technology, like restricted memory storage capacity and the quality of the videos recorded, but these have been rapidly improving in recent years and will likely continue to do so. Meta Dominates, But Rivals Are Emerging Right now, the smart glasses segment is a small one that is dominated by Meta, with the next biggest competitor being Chinese technology company Huawei, Meta owning 66% and Huawei 6% in 2024. But seeing the success of the smart glasses market, other competitors are circling. As mentioned previously, EssilorLuxottica, the owner of the brand Ray-Ban and the company with a virtual monopoly on the standard glasses market, has recently launched the Nuance Audio smart glasses. Amazon is also a significant player with its line of Echo Frame smart glasses doing hundreds of thousands of sales in

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